Most break-even tools ask you to predict your sales. This one asks what has to be true for the business to cover its costs, and how much of that you actually know.
You don't sort these yourself. Tell the tool where each number came from, and it sorts them.
A product idea isn't a business. A business is the system that makes selling it repeatable, and most of what sinks a new one is a constraint nobody looked at in time. So this tool doesn't ask you to predict your sales. It works out what has to be true for the business to cover its costs, keeps track of where every number came from, and points you at the guess that matters most.
There are no odds anywhere, on purpose. Most early numbers are guesses, and putting probabilities on guesses makes them look like knowledge. When a result looks too good, the tool treats that as a sign of a missing constraint, not as good news.
One tool in a small business discovery toolkit in development. See the rest of my work with AI.
Decide this before you open. It becomes your stop point.
What you pay whether or not anyone buys. Click a name to rename it.
Cash before taxes and before reinvesting anything.
The good and tough cases put every range at its favorable or unfavorable end at once. They mark the edges of what your numbers allow. They are not predictions, and nothing here assigns odds.
A result that looks too good usually means a constraint is missing. For the good case to happen, all of this has to be true at the same time:
Each bar swings one range from its unfavorable end to its favorable end while everything else stays in the middle. The measure is your lowest cash point. Facts don't appear, because they don't move.
Copy this into any free AI tool (ChatGPT, Claude, Gemini, Copilot). It carries your numbers and where each one came from, and it tells the AI not to turn your guesses into fake certainty.